Dengue Value Prediction — powered by Jamdani, the premier tiered forecasting model for regions in Bangladesh
Jamdani is not a single model but an ensemble of four specialist "tiers", each trained on the same weather signals but tuned for a different regime: a baseline weight-adjusted tier, a humidity-threshold tier, a lagged-effects tier (28/42-day memory), and an interactions tier. For every division and every expected case-load band, Jamdani blends these tiers with context-specific weights and reports which tier led the prediction.
On average, how many cases the prediction is off by, up or down. A lower number means the everyday predictions sit closer to reality.
Another average miss, but big misses are punished much harder than small ones. A lower number means fewer large, costly surprises.